Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 8.132521 9.068739 10.123087 11.409819 12.953573 14.766869 17.089578
2025-01-19 6.542608 7.713595 9.150968 11.086663 13.694101 17.195409 22.466038
2025-01-26 5.750737 7.026151 8.682816 11.071049 14.573525 19.800282 28.846315
2025-02-02 5.499187 6.943446 8.921955 11.971049 16.852442 25.034236 41.789862
2025-02-09 5.205381 6.742636 8.939069 12.514624 18.687435 30.198166 58.159622
2025-02-16 4.845678 6.394917 8.678507 12.554397 19.657883 34.142894 75.333321
2025-02-23 4.635403 6.234588 8.668594 12.985940 21.433587 40.536487 107.039672
2025-03-02 4.264320 5.793969 8.162784 12.467782 21.209924 42.233229 125.807042
2025-03-09 3.978727 5.459132 7.790564 12.130267 21.278620 44.737808 153.121445
2025-03-16 3.762337 5.213862 7.539479 11.977260 21.710980 48.502689 197.065498
2025-03-23 3.671649 5.158806 7.599440 12.424094 23.638085 58.055541 322.113461
2025-03-30 3.472999 4.914016 7.308200 12.128798 23.685521 61.386371 419.132210
2025-04-06 3.235469 4.607388 6.912699 11.634279 23.289617 63.650832 548.799697
2025-04-13 3.037557 4.356956 6.602612 11.292833 23.272546 67.866392 818.536426
2025-04-20 2.904898 4.205360 6.455548 11.276458 24.162516 77.236581 1727.210102
2025-04-27 2.901767 4.271602 6.714166 12.201695 28.219062 109.951387 65654.507340
2025-05-04 2.851247 4.250843 6.804755 12.760977 31.454264 147.802046 NaN
2025-05-11 2.749438 4.131548 6.690310 12.801913 32.924106 177.670270 NaN
2025-05-18 2.695036 4.092970 6.732187 13.246184 36.204539 243.796777 NaN
2025-05-25 2.554386 3.888757 6.419297 12.712768 35.255643 251.482794 NaN
2025-06-01 2.440865 3.728654 6.186420 12.365479 35.020180 272.454271 NaN
2025-06-08 2.352252 3.609901 6.030883 12.208083 35.599117 314.971754 NaN
2025-06-15 2.321252 3.596149 6.094213 12.667807 39.348197 477.470207 NaN